Derde Divisie - Saturday badgeDerde Divisie - Saturday · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Hoogeveen badgeHoogeveenvsEemdijk badgeEemdijk

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +5.4%
Our model70.8%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hoogeveen badge

Hoogeveen

Attack46
Defence36
Form42
Eemdijk badge

Eemdijk

Attack60
Defence40
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Miss
Our model70.8%
The market65.4%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.0%Miss
Our model67.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Hoogeveen (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Hoogeveen Win

Our model42.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.4%
The market7.3%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.68

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

7.1%

2-1

7.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.