US Open Cup badgeUS Open Cup · 30 April 2026AI PICK

Houston Dynamo badgeHouston DynamovsLouisville City badgeLouisville City

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
77.8%
Market said
63.3%
Edge
+14.5 pts
Best odds
1.58

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.58

High confidenceEdge +14.5%
Our model77.8%
The market63.3%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Houston Dynamo badge

Houston Dynamo

Attack62
Defence44
Form64
Louisville City badge

Louisville City

Attack73
Defence81
Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.19

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.5%Correct
Our model77.8%
The market63.3%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
1.58

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market60.6%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.65

Match Winner

Houston Dynamo Win

Correct
Our model49.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Houston Dynamo (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.