HPSvs
Mariehamn
1 - 2Correct
Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 72.2%
- Markets called
- 3 of 5 right
- Final score
- 1 - 2
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.17
High confidenceEdge -13.3%
Our model72.2%
The market85.5%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
HPS
Attack67
Defence45
Form44
Mariehamn
Attack54
Defence61
Form46
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model85.0%
The market95.2%
- Edge
- -10.2
- Odds
- 1.05
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model72.2%
The market85.5%
- Edge
- -13.3
- Odds
- 1.17
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +27.2%Correct
Our model67.2%
The market40.0%
- Edge
- +27.2
- Odds
- 2.50
Draw No Bet
HPS (DNB)
Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
HPS Win
Miss
Our model49.3%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.