FA Cup badgeFA Cup · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Hubei Chufeng Heli badgeHubei Chufeng HelivsGuangxi Hengchen badgeGuangxi Hengchen

0 - 4
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.2%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+10.1 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +10.1%
Our model64.2%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Hubei Chufeng Heli badge

Hubei Chufeng Heli

Attack42
Defence85
Form63
Guangxi Hengchen badge

Guangxi Hengchen

Attack42
Defence85
Form54

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.1%Miss
Our model64.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.2%Miss
Our model58.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Hubei Chufeng Heli (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Hubei Chufeng Heli Win

Edge +27.7%Miss
Our model50.8%
The market23.1%
Edge
+27.7
Odds
4.33

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

0-1

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.