Hull Cityvs
Manchester United
2 - 0Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 56.3%
- Edge
- +3.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
0 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -20.5
- Odds
- 1.09
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Manchester United (DNB)
- Edge
- -28.3
- Odds
- 1.14
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Manchester United Win
- Edge
- -30.2
- Odds
- 1.38
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 9.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.6%
1-1
10.9%
0-2
7.4%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.