Premier League badgePremier League · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Hull City badgeHull CityvsManchester United badgeManchester United

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
56.3%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model59.4%
The market56.3%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model71.2%
The market91.7%
Edge
-20.5
Odds
1.09

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Close
Our model59.4%
The market56.3%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Manchester United (DNB)

Miss
Our model59.4%
The market87.7%
Edge
-28.3
Odds
1.14

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market49.6%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Manchester United Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market72.5%
Edge
-30.2
Odds
1.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
9.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

10.9%

0-2

7.4%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.