Hwaseongvs
Busan I Park
3 - 2Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.6%
- Market said
- 47.2%
- Edge
- +16.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.12
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.12
The market underrated this by 16.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Hwaseong
Busan I Park
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.4
- Odds
- 2.12
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +10.5
- Odds
- 1.91
Draw No Bet
Hwaseong (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Hwaseong Win
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 3.20
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.99
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.