FA Cup badgeFA Cup · 15 July 2026AI PICK

Hwaseong badgeHwaseongvsYangpyeong badgeYangpyeong

4 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model55.9%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Hwaseong badge

Hwaseong

Attack51
Defence63
Form56
Yangpyeong badge

Yangpyeong

Attack31
Defence42
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Hwaseong (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.4%
The market90.9%
Edge
-15.5
Odds
1.10

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market48.8%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model45.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-10.6
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Hwaseong Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market71.4%
Edge
-29.8
Odds
1.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.2%
The market12.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

1-1

12.9%

2-0

10.8%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.