Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Ibizavs
FC Cartagena
3 - 1Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.6%
- Market said
- 60.6%
- Edge
- +9.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ibiza
FC Cartagena
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.0
- Odds
- 1.65
Draw No Bet
Ibiza (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Ibiza Win
- Edge
- -3.7
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.7
- Odds
- 2.10
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.22
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
15.9%
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.