Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Ibiza badgeIbizavsRayo Majadahonda badgeRayo Majadahonda

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.3%
Market said
60.2%
Edge
+5.1 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Ibiza Win

Match Winner · best price 1.66

MediumEdge +5.1%
Our model65.3%
The market60.2%

The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Ibiza badge

Ibiza

Attack92
Defence73
Form67
Rayo Majadahonda badge

Rayo Majadahonda

Attack35
Defence73
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model87.5%
The market90.9%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

Ibiza (DNB)

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model83.9%
The market75.2%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Ibiza Win

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model65.3%
The market60.2%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
1.66

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.3%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market46.3%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
2.16

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market47.2%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.12

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.92

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

8.8%

2-1

8.8% · actual

3-0

8.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.