Allsvenskan badgeAllsvenskan · 29 August 2026AI PICK

IF Elfsborg badgeIF ElfsborgvsDegerfors IF badgeDegerfors IF

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
52.2%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.84

LowEdge +1.8%
Our model54.0%
The market52.2%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

IF Elfsborg badge

IF Elfsborg

Attack46
Defence82
Form49
Degerfors IF badge

Degerfors IF

Attack42
Defence44
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.6%
The market89.3%
Edge
-17.7
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

IF Elfsborg (DNB)

Correct
Our model61.3%
The market77.5%
Edge
-16.2
Odds
1.29

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market52.2%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.84

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Close
Our model53.8%
The market52.8%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

IF Elfsborg Win

Correct
Our model45.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
-18.7
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.