Allsvenskan · 21 May 2026AI PICK

IF ElfsborgvsMjallby AIF

1 - 1

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 65.6%
Market said: 46.9%
Edge: +18.7 pts
Best odds: 2.13

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.13

MediumEdge +18.7%

Our model65.6%

The market46.9%

The market underrated this by 18.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

IF Elfsborg

Attack49

Defence66

Form60

Mjallby AIF

Attack60

Defence62

Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.9%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market74.1%

Edge: +10.9
Odds: 1.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.7%Close

Our model65.6%

The market46.9%

Edge: +18.7
Odds: 2.13

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.0%Correct

Our model64.9%

The market54.9%

Edge: +10.0
Odds: 1.82

Draw No Bet

IF Elfsborg (DNB)

Void

Our model48.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -9.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

IF Elfsborg Win

Edge +8.1%Miss

Our model44.5%

The market36.4%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 2.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%

Our model8.7%

The market7.5%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 13.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

8.2% · actual

2-1

7.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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