Allsvenskan badgeAllsvenskan · 19 July 2026AI PICK

IF Elfsborg badgeIF ElfsborgvsSirius badgeSirius

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.5%
Market said
58.2%
Edge
+6.3 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +6.3%
Our model64.5%
The market58.2%

The market underrated this by 6.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

IF Elfsborg badge

IF Elfsborg

Attack42
Defence80
Form49
Sirius badge

Sirius

Attack77
Defence63
Form80

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Our model74.2%
The market76.9%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model64.5%
The market58.2%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model61.1%
The market62.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Sirius (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sirius Win

Correct
Our model40.0%
The market51.3%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

7.9%

1-3

7.3% · actual

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.