Superettan badgeSuperettan · 19 July 2026AI PICK

IFK Varnamo badgeIFK VarnamovsLjungskile SK badgeLjungskile SK

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
46.1%
Edge
+9.7 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +9.7%
Our model55.8%
The market46.1%

The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

IFK Varnamo badge

IFK Varnamo

Attack33
Defence35
Form22
Ljungskile SK badge

Ljungskile SK

Attack42
Defence64
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model74.2%
The market69.4%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Ljungskile SK (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Miss
Our model55.8%
The market46.1%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Our model55.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Ljungskile SK Win

Correct
Our model39.2%
The market43.5%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.1%
The market11.6%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.1%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

10.8%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.