Superettan badgeSuperettan · 17 May 2026AI PICK

IFK Varnamo badgeIFK VarnamovsNorrby IF badgeNorrby IF

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.1%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+12.9 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +12.9%
Our model69.1%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

IFK Varnamo badge

IFK Varnamo

Attack58
Defence43
Form43
Norrby IF badge

Norrby IF

Attack52
Defence55
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market81.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market56.2%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.7%Correct
Our model66.2%
The market59.5%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
1.68

Match Winner

IFK Varnamo Win

Edge +5.5%Miss
Our model60.1%
The market54.6%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

IFK Varnamo (DNB)

Void
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

7.4%

1-2

7.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.