Serie D · 25 July 2026AI PICK
Iguatuvs
Nacional AM
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.5%
- Market said
- 40.0%
- Edge
- +15.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.50
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50
The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Iguatu
Nacional AM
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -16.3
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
Iguatu (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 2.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 2.25
Match Winner
Iguatu Win
- Edge
- -14.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 8.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.7%
1-1
12.9% · actual
1-0
8.9%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.