Tweede Divisie · 13 June 2026AI PICK

IjsselmeervogelsvsExcelsior Maassluis

1 - 0

Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 64.2%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +19.8 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Ijsselmeervogels Win

Match Winner · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +19.8%

Our model64.2%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 19.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Ijsselmeervogels

Attack52

Defence60

Form51

Excelsior Maassluis

Attack32

Defence45

Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%

Our model85.0%

The market82.0%

Edge: +3.0
Odds: 1.22

Match Winner

Ijsselmeervogels Win

Edge +19.8%Correct

Our model64.2%

The market44.4%

Edge: +19.8
Odds: 2.25

Draw No Bet

Ijsselmeervogels (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct

Our model60.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +2.9
Odds: 1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.4%Miss

Our model59.5%

The market54.1%

Edge: +5.4
Odds: 1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss

Our model57.3%

The market62.5%

Edge: -5.2
Odds: 1.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%

Our model11.0%

The market9.6%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 10.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.0% · actual

2-1

9.9%

2-0

9.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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