Tweede Divisie badgeTweede Divisie · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Ijsselmeervogels badgeIjsselmeervogelsvsSparta Nijkerk badgeSparta Nijkerk

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.2%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+6.5 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +6.5%
Our model73.2%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 6.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ijsselmeervogels badge

Ijsselmeervogels

Attack38
Defence46
Form33
Sparta Nijkerk badge

Sparta Nijkerk

Attack74
Defence57
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model73.2%
The market66.7%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model66.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Sparta Nijkerk (DNB)

Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sparta Nijkerk Win

Edge +7.4%Miss
Our model37.7%
The market30.3%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
3.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.9%
The market7.7%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.99

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-3

7.4%

0-2

6.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.