Ilirijavs
Rudar
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +3.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ilirija
Rudar
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
Ilirija (DNB)
- Edge
- +16.3
- Odds
- 1.97
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.8
- Odds
- 1.68
Match Winner
Ilirija Win
- Edge
- +5.3
- Odds
- 2.27
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.85
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
8.2% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.