Cup badgeCup · 29 July 2026AI PICK

Ilpar badgeIlparvsMetallurg Asha badgeMetallurg Asha

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89

MediumEdge +2.6%
Our model55.5%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ilpar badge

Ilpar

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Metallurg Asha badge

Metallurg Asha

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.6%
Our model73.0%
The market70.4%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.42

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model55.5%
The market52.9%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.89

Draw No Bet

Ilpar (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Ilpar Win

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market40.5%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
2.47

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.