UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 16 July 2026AI PICK

Ilves badgeIlvesvsFC Differdange 03 badgeFC Differdange 03

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model57.7%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ilves badge

Ilves

Attack64
Defence51
Form53
FC Differdange 03 badge

FC Differdange 03

Attack42
Defence100
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market92.6%
Edge
-18.4
Odds
1.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Ilves (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market58.8%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Ilves Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market67.6%
Edge
-26.0
Odds
1.48

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
9.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

10.4%

2-0

7.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.