UEFA Europa Conference League · 13 August 2026AI PICK
Ilvesvs
HNK Rijeka
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 52.0%
- Edge
- +5.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +27.7
- Odds
- 2.25
Draw No Bet
Ilves (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Ilves Win
- Edge
- +37.1
- Odds
- 5.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.2%
1-1
10.9% · actual
1-2
8.2%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.