UEFA Europa Conference League · 30 July 2026AI PICK
Ilvesvs
Stjarnan
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.9%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +17.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.78
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78
The market underrated this by 17.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Ilves
Stjarnan
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.9
- Odds
- 1.18
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.3
- Odds
- 1.78
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 1.71
Draw No Bet
Ilves (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Ilves Win
- Edge
- -6.3
- Odds
- 1.74
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.