Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Imolese badgeImolesevsRovato Vertovese badgeRovato Vertovese

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
61.3%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.63

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.63

MediumEdge +3.7%
Our model65.0%
The market61.3%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Imolese badge

Imolese

Attack38
Defence34
Form33
Rovato Vertovese badge

Rovato Vertovese

Attack47
Defence96
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market61.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.63

Match Winner

Imolese Win

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model50.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Imolese (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model46.8%
The market53.5%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.