Serie D badgeSerie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Imperatriz badgeImperatrizvsÁguia de Marabá badgeÁguia de Marabá

0 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+12.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +12.3%
Our model62.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 12.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Imperatriz badge

Imperatriz

Attack53
Defence43
Form38
Águia de Marabá badge

Águia de Marabá

Attack83
Defence38
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.3%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.6%Correct
Our model61.6%
The market42.0%
Edge
+19.6
Odds
2.38

Match Winner

Imperatriz Win

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market39.2%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.55

Draw No Bet

Imperatriz (DNB)

Miss
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.3%Close
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

0-1

9.3%

1-1

8.6%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.