Serie D badgeSerie D · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Imperatriz badgeImperatrizvsTocantinópolis badgeTocantinópolis

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+15.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +15.1%
Our model67.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 15.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Imperatriz badge

Imperatriz

Attack34
Defence50
Form33
Tocantinópolis badge

Tocantinópolis

Attack48
Defence53
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.1%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Imperatriz Win

Miss
Our model49.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Imperatriz (DNB)

Void
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model45.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
-8.7
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.