Regionalliga - West badgeRegionalliga - West · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Imst badgeImstvsLustenau badgeLustenau

4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.2%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+11.6 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +11.6%
Our model64.2%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 11.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Imst badge

Imst

Attack35
Defence100
Form51
Lustenau badge

Lustenau

Attack25
Defence53
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model64.2%
The market52.6%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Imst Win

Edge +13.9%Correct
Our model63.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Imst (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model44.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.2%
The market15.8%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.2%

0-1

12.8%

0-0

11.6%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.