Super Liga · 24 May 2026AI PICK

IMT Novi BeogradvsTSC Backa Topola

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 59.7%
Market said: 54.1%
Edge: +5.6 pts
Best odds: 1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.6%

Our model59.7%

The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

IMT Novi Beograd

Attack42

Defence100

Form60

TSC Backa Topola

Attack65

Defence53

Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market80.0%

Edge: +5.0
Odds: 1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.6%Correct

Our model59.7%

The market54.1%

Edge: +5.6
Odds: 1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.9%Close

Our model55.2%

The market51.3%

Edge: +3.9
Odds: 1.95

Draw No Bet

IMT Novi Beograd (DNB)

Our model44.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -13.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

IMT Novi Beograd Win

Edge +16.3%

Our model41.3%

The market25.0%

Edge: +16.3
Odds: 4.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%

Our model11.0%

The market9.6%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 10.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.0%

1-1

9.5% · actual

1-2

9.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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