Incheon Unitedvs
Gwangju FC
4 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.3%
- Market said
- 67.6%
- Edge
- +1.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.48
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectIncheon United Win
Match Winner · best price 1.48
The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Incheon United
Gwangju FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Match Winner
Incheon United Win
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.48
Draw No Bet
Incheon United (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -7.3
- Odds
- 2.16
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 4.88
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
23.6%
0-0
16.6%
2-0
13.2%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.