CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Independ. Rivadavia badgeIndepend. RivadaviavsFluminense badgeFluminense

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
36.1%
Edge
+21.7 pts
Best odds
2.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.70

MediumEdge +21.7%
Our model57.8%
The market36.1%

The market underrated this by 21.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independ. Rivadavia badge

Independ. Rivadavia

Attack77
Defence63
Form64
Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack63
Defence67
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market73.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Independ. Rivadavia (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.7%Close
Our model57.8%
The market36.1%
Edge
+21.7
Odds
2.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market45.0%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Independ. Rivadavia Win

Edge +8.6%Miss
Our model49.4%
The market40.8%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.45

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

10.3% · actual

1-2

6.8%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.