Liga Profesional Argentina · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Independ. RivadaviavsUnion Santa Fe

1 - 2

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 72.3%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +27.9 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

High confidenceEdge +27.9%

Our model72.3%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 27.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Independ. Rivadavia

Attack100

Defence16

Form69

Union Santa Fe

Attack100

Defence12

Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +27.9%Correct

Our model72.3%

The market44.4%

Edge: +27.9
Odds: 2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.4%Correct

Our model67.7%

The market51.3%

Edge: +16.4
Odds: 1.95

Match Winner

Independ. Rivadavia Win

Edge +8.2%Miss

Our model58.2%

The market50.0%

Edge: +8.2
Odds: 2.00

Draw No Bet

Independ. Rivadavia (DNB)

Miss

Our model54.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -3.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%

Our model8.4%

The market7.3%

Edge: +1.1
Odds: 13.71

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

2-2

7.1%

1-1

6.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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