Serie D · 21 June 2026AI PICK
Independênciavs
Manauara
0 - 2Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.3%
- Market said
- 54.6%
- Edge
- +4.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83
The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Independência
Manauara
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Independência (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Independência Win
- Edge
- +22.2
- Odds
- 4.33
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.55
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.1%
0-1
9.7%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.