Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 20 July 2026AI PICK

Independiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del VallevsEmelec badgeEmelec

6 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
76.5%
Market said
75.2%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.33

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Independiente del Valle Win

Match Winner · best price 1.33

High confidenceEdge +1.3%
Our model76.5%
The market75.2%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente del Valle badge

Independiente del Valle

Attack100
Defence58
Form87
Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack30
Defence54
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model90.0%
The market96.2%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.04

Match Winner

Independiente del Valle Win

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model76.5%
The market75.2%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Independiente del Valle (DNB)

Edge +16.0%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+16.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market56.5%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.77

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model55.3%
The market60.2%
Edge
-4.9
Odds
1.66

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model13.4%
The market15.4%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

13.4%

3-0

12.5%

1-0

8.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.