Copa Ecuador · 30 July 2026AI PICK
Independiente del Vallevs
Manta FC
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +9.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Draw No Bet
Independiente del Valle (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.4
- Odds
- 2.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 2.20
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -43.5
- Odds
- 1.05
Match Winner
Independiente del Valle Win
- Edge
- -44.2
- Odds
- 1.21
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.0% · actual
1-1
14.5%
0-0
9.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.