CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 27 May 2026AI PICK

Independiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del VallevsRosario Central badgeRosario Central

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.2%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+24.6 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

High confidenceEdge +24.6%
Our model72.2%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 24.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente del Valle badge

Independiente del Valle

Attack85
Defence63
Form81
Rosario Central badge

Rosario Central

Attack67
Defence69
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.6%Miss
Our model72.2%
The market47.6%
Edge
+24.6
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.9%Miss
Our model67.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+15.9
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Independiente del Valle (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Independiente del Valle Win

Correct
Our model50.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.7%
The market7.5%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
13.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

2-2

6.9%

1-1

6.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.