Independiente del Vallevs
Rosario Central
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.2%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +24.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 24.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +24.6
- Odds
- 2.10
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +15.9
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Independiente del Valle (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Independiente del Valle Win
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 13.28
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.