Independiente F.b.c.vs
Benjamín Aceval
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.1%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +3.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Independiente F.b.c.
Benjamín Aceval
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Independiente F.b.c. (DNB)
- Edge
- -18.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Independiente F.b.c. Win
- Edge
- -4.2
- Odds
- 2.50
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 13.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.7% · actual
1-1
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.