Copa Paraguay badgeCopa Paraguay · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Independiente F.b.c. badgeIndependiente F.b.c.vsSportivo Ameliano badgeSportivo Ameliano

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

LowEdge +0.5%
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente F.b.c. badge

Independiente F.b.c.

Attack51
Defence49
Form40
Sportivo Ameliano badge

Sportivo Ameliano

Attack47
Defence66
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Independiente F.b.c. (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market63.7%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.57

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model53.6%
The market71.4%
Edge
-17.8
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Independiente F.b.c. Win

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market71.4%
Edge
-28.3
Odds
1.40

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

1-2

7.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.