Division Intermedia · 13 July 2026AI PICK
Independiente F.b.c.vs
Tacuary
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.9%
- Market said
- 50.4%
- Edge
- +5.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Independiente F.b.c.
Tacuary
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -7.8
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Independiente F.b.c. (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Independiente F.b.c. Win
- Edge
- -13.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.48
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.2%
1-1
13.0%
1-2
7.5%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.