Independiente FSJvs
Azuriz
0 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 86.3%
- Market said
- 67.6%
- Edge
- +18.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.48
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.48
The market underrated this by 18.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +18.7
- Odds
- 1.48
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 1.26
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 1.51
Match Winner
Independiente FSJ Win
- Edge
- -4.5
- Odds
- 1.51
Draw No Bet
Independiente FSJ (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 4.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
28.5%
1-0
22.7%
0-1
16.6% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.