Serie D badgeSerie D · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Independiente FSJ badgeIndependiente FSJvsBlumenau badgeBlumenau

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model59.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente FSJ badge

Independiente FSJ

Attack28
Defence100
Form55
Blumenau badge

Blumenau

Attack71
Defence100
Form87

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Blumenau (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model45.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Blumenau Win

Our model30.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-19.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.