Serie D badgeSerie D · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Independiente FSJ badgeIndependiente FSJvsBrasil DE Pelotas badgeBrasil DE Pelotas

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
76.6%
Market said
71.4%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

High confidenceEdge +5.2%
Our model76.6%
The market71.4%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente FSJ badge

Independiente FSJ

Attack25
Defence100
Form52
Brasil DE Pelotas badge

Brasil DE Pelotas

Attack50
Defence50
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model76.6%
The market71.4%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Brasil DE Pelotas Win

Edge +23.9%Miss
Our model50.6%
The market26.7%
Edge
+23.9
Odds
3.75

Draw No Bet

Brasil DE Pelotas (DNB)

Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model40.3%
The market42.0%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model21.9%
The market19.0%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
5.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

21.9%

0-0

16.5% · actual

1-0

12.8%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.