Independiente FSJvs
Marcílio Dias
0 - 0Full time · 1 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.1%
- Market said
- 71.4%
- Edge
- +1.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.40
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40
The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 1 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -3.3
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
Marcílio Dias (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Marcílio Dias Win
- Edge
- -6.4
- Odds
- 2.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 4.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
23.1%
0-0
14.9% · actual
0-2
14.0%
We called 1 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.