Serie D badgeSerie D · 7 June 2026AI PICK

Independiente FSJ badgeIndependiente FSJvsMarcílio Dias badgeMarcílio Dias

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
71.4%
Edge
+1.7 pts
Best odds
1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

High confidenceEdge +1.7%
Our model73.1%
The market71.4%

The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente FSJ badge

Independiente FSJ

Attack19
Defence100
Form48
Marcílio Dias badge

Marcílio Dias

Attack55
Defence86
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 1 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market71.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model60.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Marcílio Dias (DNB)

Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Marcílio Dias Win

Our model30.0%
The market36.4%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
2.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model23.1%
The market20.1%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
4.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

23.1%

0-0

14.9% · actual

0-2

14.0%

We called 1 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.