Primera A badgePrimera A · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Independiente Medellin badgeIndependiente MedellinvsÁguilas Doradas badgeÁguilas Doradas

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.4%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+13.4 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Independiente Medellin Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +13.4%
Our model63.4%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 13.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente Medellin badge

Independiente Medellin

Attack54
Defence52
Form52
Águilas Doradas badge

Águilas Doradas

Attack37
Defence50
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

Independiente Medellin Win

Edge +13.4%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Independiente Medellin (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.3%Close
Our model57.1%
The market48.8%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.1%
The market54.6%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.