Primera A badgePrimera A · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Independiente Medellin badgeIndependiente MedellinvsDeportivo Cali badgeDeportivo Cali

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.2%
Market said
50.4%
Edge
+6.8 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +6.8%
Our model57.2%
The market50.4%

The market underrated this by 6.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente Medellin badge

Independiente Medellin

Attack56
Defence56
Form64
Deportivo Cali badge

Deportivo Cali

Attack60
Defence100
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market75.2%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market50.4%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Independiente Medellin (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market44.8%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Independiente Medellin Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

12.2%

1-2

8.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.