Primera A badgePrimera A · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Independiente Medellin badgeIndependiente MedellinvsDeportivo Pasto badgeDeportivo Pasto

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
49.7%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +11.5%
Our model61.2%
The market49.7%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente Medellin badge

Independiente Medellin

Attack51
Defence55
Form57
Deportivo Pasto badge

Deportivo Pasto

Attack62
Defence40
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market49.7%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.7%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market47.8%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Pasto (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Deportivo Pasto Win

Edge +20.2%Miss
Our model39.2%
The market19.0%
Edge
+20.2
Odds
5.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

12.6%

2-1

7.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.