Primera A badgePrimera A · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Independiente Medellin badgeIndependiente MedellinvsFortaleza FC badgeFortaleza FC

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+6.4 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.89

MediumEdge +6.4%
Our model59.3%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente Medellin badge

Independiente Medellin

Attack56
Defence50
Form51
Fortaleza FC badge

Fortaleza FC

Attack51
Defence38
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market81.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.23

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.4%Miss
Our model59.3%
The market52.9%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
1.89

Draw No Bet

Independiente Medellin (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model52.9%
The market53.2%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.88

Match Winner

Independiente Medellin Win

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model51.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.