Primera A badgePrimera A · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Independiente Medellin badgeIndependiente MedellinvsLlaneros badgeLlaneros

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.99

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.99

LowEdge +3.7%
Our model54.0%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente Medellin badge

Independiente Medellin

Attack58
Defence53
Form58
Llaneros badge

Llaneros

Attack47
Defence72
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model69.0%
The market91.7%
Edge
-22.7
Odds
1.09

Draw No Bet

Independiente Medellin (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.3%
The market80.0%
Edge
-25.7
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market50.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.99

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market50.8%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.97

Match Winner

Independiente Medellin Win

Correct
Our model36.8%
The market65.4%
Edge
-28.6
Odds
1.53

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4% · actual

1-1

13.2%

1-0

8.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.