CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 22 July 2026AI PICK

Independiente MedellinvsVasco DA Gama

2 - 2

Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 55.8%
Market said: 44.5%
Edge: +11.3 pts
Best odds: 2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +11.3%

Our model55.8%

The market44.5%

The market underrated this by 11.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente Medellin

Attack56

Defence50

Form57

Vasco DA Gama

Attack58

Defence41

Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Draw No Bet

Independiente Medellin (DNB)

Void

Our model56.8%

The market57.1%

Edge: -0.3
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Correct

Our model55.8%

The market44.5%

Edge: +11.3
Odds: 2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct

Our model55.3%

The market51.6%

Edge: +3.7
Odds: 1.91

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%

The market73.5%

Edge: -21.8
Odds: 1.36

Match Winner

Independiente Medellin Win

Edge +0.2%Miss

Our model42.8%

The market42.6%

Edge: +0.2
Odds: 2.35

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model8.6%

The market9.9%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 10.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

13.8%

0-0

8.3%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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