CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 21 May 2026AI PICK

Independiente Petrolero badgeIndependiente PetrolerovsBotafogo badgeBotafogo

0 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.9%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+13.3 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +13.3%
Our model60.9%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente Petrolero badge

Independiente Petrolero

Attack50
Defence25
Form29
Botafogo badge

Botafogo

Attack87
Defence37
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market90.9%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.3%Miss
Our model60.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model59.5%
The market69.4%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Botafogo (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Botafogo Win

Our model33.6%
The market84.7%
Edge
-51.1
Odds
1.18

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.1%
The market8.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.1%

1-2

9.8%

1-1

8.7%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.