CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5 May 2026AI PICK

Independiente Petrolero badgeIndependiente PetrolerovsCaracas FC badgeCaracas FC

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.0%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+5.7 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +5.7%
Our model57.0%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 5.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente Petrolero badge

Independiente Petrolero

Attack61
Defence19
Form26
Caracas FC badge

Caracas FC

Attack57
Defence41
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.7%Miss
Our model57.0%
The market51.3%
Edge
+5.7
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.9%
The market57.8%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Independiente Petrolero (DNB)

Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Independiente Petrolero Win

Our model42.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.