Liga Profesional Argentina badgeLiga Profesional Argentina · 31 July 2026AI PICK

Independiente badgeIndependientevsNewells Old Boys badgeNewells Old Boys

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
41.9%
Edge
+11.9 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

LowEdge +11.9%
Our model53.8%
The market41.9%

The market underrated this by 11.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Independiente badge

Independiente

Attack88
Defence35
Form53
Newells Old Boys badge

Newells Old Boys

Attack46
Defence32
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market85.5%
Edge
-10.7
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Independiente (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.9%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market41.9%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.7%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market44.4%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Independiente Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model11.1%
The market12.7%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

11.1%

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.