Independientevs
Newells Old Boys
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 41.9%
- Edge
- +11.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.35
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35
The market underrated this by 11.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.7
- Odds
- 1.17
Draw No Bet
Independiente (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 2.35
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 2.20
Match Winner
Independiente Win
- Edge
- -9.3
- Odds
- 1.70
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 7.87
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
11.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.